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by im3w1l 3636 days ago
For your example:

If you create a shot-vector per day, then any vector will lack autocorrelation.

If you you create a shot-vector for the whole season, then there will be autocorrelation.

Why?

    P(n = good | n-1 = good)
    = P(n = good | currently good day) P(currently good day | n-1 = good) + P(n = good | currently bad day) P(currently bad day | n-1 = good)
    > P(n = good)
Also regarding verhausts example, the process he describes clearly has autocorrelation.