92 people per day isn't "uncommon". It might be statistically improbable, but that's not what uncommon means. It's a regular, daily occurrence for 92 real human lives every day.
Uncommon for the computer (or human) driving the car.
You have to understand the magnitude of the perfection needed to have any hope of implementing it.
Tell me: Before you read my message, would you have assumed at a computer that is 99% perfect, or 99.9% perfect, would be better than a human?
I can tell you, that until I did the math, I thought so myself.
But 99.99999% is 10,000 better! If the computer was 99.9% perfect you would have almost 1 million fatalities per year (assuming things scale linearly, which I'm sure they wouldn't, probably most of the time driving is easy and 99.9% would still not get into an accident).
> It's a regular, daily occurrence for 92 real human lives every day.
I know. (Although you said that badly: it's not a daily occurrence for those people. But I get your emotion.)
But a computer will not solve this problem, not for a long time. We simply are not able to make a computer that is that good.
Let's see if we can make a web browser that is that good before we try to make a driving computer that good.
It also puts human drivers in a new light. I was of the camp that people are terrible, horrible drivers that kill all the time.
But actually humans are nearly perfect at driving, it's just there are so very very many people driving, so even a tiny cumulative error shows up.
You have to understand the magnitude of the perfection needed to have any hope of implementing it.
Tell me: Before you read my message, would you have assumed at a computer that is 99% perfect, or 99.9% perfect, would be better than a human?
I can tell you, that until I did the math, I thought so myself.
But 99.99999% is 10,000 better! If the computer was 99.9% perfect you would have almost 1 million fatalities per year (assuming things scale linearly, which I'm sure they wouldn't, probably most of the time driving is easy and 99.9% would still not get into an accident).
> It's a regular, daily occurrence for 92 real human lives every day.
I know. (Although you said that badly: it's not a daily occurrence for those people. But I get your emotion.)
But a computer will not solve this problem, not for a long time. We simply are not able to make a computer that is that good.
Let's see if we can make a web browser that is that good before we try to make a driving computer that good.
It also puts human drivers in a new light. I was of the camp that people are terrible, horrible drivers that kill all the time.
But actually humans are nearly perfect at driving, it's just there are so very very many people driving, so even a tiny cumulative error shows up.