[gonvaled]

I follow you until here:

> Unfortunately that might just grow UKIPs electoral base as they'll feel legitimized to keep blaming the EU for any UK issues.

How would the UKIP be blaming the EU once the UK is out? Whatever the deal the EU offers, good or bad, it's a deal which will be accepted by the UK, a sovereign state. It will not be imposed. Hard to see how they can blame the EU for defending their interests, since I assume the UK will be doing the same.

The only possible explanation here is that the EU is able to force the UK to accept a "bad deal". But that directly contradicts the UKIP narrative, that "the UK is a strong nation, and all regions around the world will be ready to sign deals with it".

[NetStrikeForce]

You're right on your analysis, but you've failed at one thing: Logic and facts do not matter. The EU would be the scapegoat because people buy it.

There's a UKIP MEP right now on Twitter blaming the EU because his toaster doesn't work properly. This is not a joke, this is actually happening.