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by branchless 3664 days ago
So much this. Also even if you have won it means very little going forward. If you put 100 guys in a room and asked them to try to flip N consecutive tails one guy will come out thinking he is the king of flipping, with a rock-solid "system". He's just someone who doesn't understand probability. And as you say you don't hear from the other 99 including the math guy who flipped N/2 heads and is muttering about it.