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by antouank 3663 days ago
Right. But then again, you cannot say it's 100% that player A or player B will win, right? There's a chance for draw that is not negligible.
2 comments

One common way to represent the probability of outcomes in chess as a single number (e.g. in comparing opening lines) is to say "white gets 55% of the points", which aggregates wins and draws. (So for instance if white wins 50%, draws 25% and loses 25% of the games, it gets 0.5 * 1 + 0.25 * 0.5 + 0.25 * 0 = 62.5% of the points.)
In fact, at top levels of play, draw rates are 40% or higher.