[gloves]

Cool work! Appreciate it's not your mission to say 'this will or won't happen' and is just a bit of fun.

But the great thing about football is that interesting as this is, I won't be placing any bets off the back of it. Too many variables in human nature, playing conditions, external factors, and maybe even luck. It's what keeps the game interesting and millions watching.

It would be interesting as a question to wonder what parts of human behaviour can be predicted accurately in this way though!

[huherto]

It is my personal opinion that soccer has a very high luck component. Often four or five plays decide the game. Frequently enough it is even decided by a referee call. It makes the game attractive because even an inferior team has a decent chance against a superior team. It may be just a lucky shot and then you close your defense.

[semi-extrinsic]

> It may be just a lucky shot and then you close your defense.

See Greece in WC 2010 as an example of this as a deliberate strategy.

[k-mcgrady]

>> "I won't be placing any bets off the back of it. Too many variables in human nature, playing conditions, external factors, and maybe even luck"

That's what makes betting on it fun! If you can reliably predict who's going to win it's not gambling :)