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by rskar 3665 days ago
tldr; :"One widely cited paper by Carl Frey and Michael Osborne at Oxford University found that as many as 47% of Americans work in jobs that will be highly susceptible to automation over the next two decades. But a new working paper by Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn of the Centre for European Economic Research paints a slightly brighter picture. ... But the newer study finds that three-quarters of those jobs involve some group work or face-to-face interaction—tasks robot struggle with. Applying a similar analysis to all jobs, they find that only 9%, not 47%, are at high risk of automation. ... And finally, even if the 9% figure is closer to the truth, that still threatens the livelihood of millions. For the poorest quarter of the population, the proportion of jobs at risk rises to 26%, since more of them work in the sort of routine jobs most susceptible to automation."

(Not sure, but I think this is) Their paper: https://www.advisorsandpartners.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/201.... Page 20 suggests that unless your "Income Percentile" is much above 50%, then you're among the (more-or-less) 20% of jobs lost to automation. Get above 75%, then you're sitting pretty.