[venomsnake]

Since NSA core mission is being ahead of everyone else, a claim that capabilities have increased a lot in the last few years is not FUD.

[dimino]

Without any specific evidence, it's still FUD.

[detaro]

What would specific evidence for "we don't know how much progress they have made since the last time we had concrete data about them" look like?

[dimino]

The FUD is implying they've made significant progress. You're right, "we don't know" isn't really a falsifiable statement, in this context.

[Trill-I-Am]

Is there a certain time period after which we can say it's not FUD? Like if we go 10 years without any additional clarification after the Snowden slides, is it still automatically FUD?

[dimino]

I'm confused -- are you asking when an unsubstantiated claim is not FUD?

[Trill-I-Am]

Not all educated guesses and reasoned estimations are FUD

[dimino]

None are, actually.