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by kristianp 3687 days ago
Cool how he foreshadows the end of Sun (takeover by Oracle in 2010) in that article from 2002:

"Sun's two strategies are (a) make software a commodity by promoting and developing free software (Star Office, Linux, Apache, Gnome, etc), and (b) make hardware a commodity by promoting Java, with its bytecode architecture and WORA. OK, Sun, pop quiz: when the music stops, where are you going to sit down? Without proprietary advantages in hardware or software, you're going to have to take the commodity price, which barely covers the cost of cheap factories in Guadalajara, not your cushy offices in Silicon Valley."

1 comments

Predicting that a company will fail without giving a date is not foreshadowing, it's stating the obvious.
What? He also predicted how and why it would fail. Sun was a big enough player then that it could have survived plenty of other ways. Apple of today looks nothing like the company in 2000, but Sun got caught out more or less exactly as described and never adapted.