[vintermann]

VS, Eclipse, and IntellijIDEA very likely won't.

Well, I hope they won't. But I'm sure their many common UI conventions will. Those conventions are shared between hundreds of thousands of apps already.

In 20 or 40 years, the Emacs UI will still rule only in a single program (and if we're unlucky maybe a few other tools still, like the readline library!).

As for vi, I'm sure some people will still be installing vi plugins everywhere to get 1/10th as smooth an experience as everyone else, and telling themselves they're more productive for it. Already these UI conventions developed for a line editor have outlived much of the generation that has ever used a line editor, so I'm sure it can go on for another 40 years!