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by huac
3707 days ago
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Black-Scholes (and the Merton version) are useful as simple estimates of option prices. Of course it's not going to be accurate (it assumes a lognormal distribution for volatility, JFC) - but the model is public and easy to calculate, providing a stable basis for these kinds of prices. Edit: people buying/selling options are of course performing their own pricing operations. They don't care how the market price is determined, since they believe their model is the best and gives more accurate prices than anyone else. Edit 2: furthermore, to properly price startup options, you need to account for their 'random-expiration' nature: we have no idea when Uber will IPO. this makes it difficult to use traditional option pricing models which have fixed maturities (you can take integrals over the model's results at each possible maturity). additionally, choosing a discount rate is hard when realizing that most employees are not well-diversified, unlike the investors/funds that the traditional models are written for |
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While neither are great, binomial is better for American style options than BS.