[andersen1488]

It's scary to think that in 20-30 years nearly the entire available housing stock will not be covered by rent control. My landlord wanted to raise my rent 40% in one year here in Oakland until I pointed out the laws. Eventually the entire middle class will just be landless peasants again, allowed to live wherever the rich say that they can.

[nugget]

At some point in your scenario proposition 13 would be tossed out and property taxes would be hiked up which would decrease property values. The process to amend California's state constitution is relatively accessible and particularly susceptible to waves of populist sentiment. If you're a homeowner with a vested interest in the status quo (very low property taxes) you also have a vested interest in keeping the home ownership and owner occupied rates relatively high (whether you know it or not) in order to maintain that political support.

[gozur88]

Oh, come on. "Landless peasants".

The middle class will not be able to afford to live in the most expensive housing markets in the country. But that's the way it's always been.

[rconti]

It's only scary if you believe rent control is a net benefit.

[beatpanda]

No, facing a 40% increase in your rent without an attendant increase in your wages or salary is scary no matter what the macro situation is. Anybody working on or thinking about housing policy needs to keep this in mind -- no matter how right your policy prescriptions may be, you need to keep in mind that they may do massive harm to individuals in the short term. And the failure to even try to ameliorate those harms is one of the reasons why things like getting rid of rent control are politically impossible.

[pjlegato]

Advocates for the reverse ought to bear in mind that however noble the goal of avoiding harm to individuals in the short term may be, the harm done to individuals in the long term is even more massive, and then much harder to fix.

Two case in point examples: Prop 13, and rent control.

These are not, as popularly concieved, great ways to protect the poor and disadvantaged. They are simply examples of very short term thinking becoming public policy, which has the unintended and paradoxical effect of harming the poor and disadvantaged much more in the long run.

[beatpanda]

Right, and I agree with you, but the fact that it would be better not to have them in the long run doesn't do anything about the short term harm of thousands of people losing their homes all at once. "It will be better for everyone in the aggregate, eventually" doesn't do anything for someone who just became homeless.

What I'm saying is, if you want this policy, start thinking of ways you could change it while accounting for the harm that changing it would do.

[deelowe]

Sometimes the only way to fix systemic issues is via strategic planning.