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by omurphyevans 3730 days ago
No, it's predicated on exponential growth, of which Moore's law was one small part...
3 comments

> it's predicated on exponential growth

Is that part even necessary? Even linear growth with a higher constant factor than humans have due to faster iterations could rapidly outgrow human capabilities if we take a hypothetical human-level AI as starting point.

But the important question is whether Moore's law is a necessary part. There's a big difference between "a redundant part, if it fails, the whole thing continues" and "a necessary but not sufficient component".
Could human reproduction count as one of those exponential factors? if P(t+dt) = 1.1*P(t)?