[ghshephard]

statistically, resisting a criminal assault results in much better outcomes

I'd be willing to wager that simply passively handing over your wallet and phone, by a wide margin, results in better outcomes than trying to draw a weapon on a guy jacked up on adrenalin with his finger on the trigger pointed at you.

Anybody so stupid to risk a felony conviction on something so low-value as mugging someone, is probably stupid enough to pull the trigger if startled.

[hga]

I'm personally not "willing to wager" about this, all I'm doing is reporting what the statisticians have discovered in their studies of the actual outcomes of crimes. I hope it goes without saying that for any particular crime, I wouldn't go by raw statistics but would judge the situation.

But I've read of accounts where citizens did things that struck us serious self-defense types as really stupid, but prevailed, and I don't judge them because I wasn't there and they were right, even if the risk struck us as too great.

Here, I'm imagining a scenario where my gun, which just happens to rest over my right back pocket where my wallet might be, wouldn't even visible to the criminals until they've got about 2-3 tenths of a second to respond, ideally where I'd also start moving laterally. And if it's night, I'd be wearing body armor (yeah, I'm paranoid :-), so even his being "stupid enough to pull the trigger" if he can manage to do so might not be the end of the world.

But it all comes down to your judgement of the situation, your luck, etc. ... and as many people have told me, you make your own luck as it were. Which circles back to what the statisticians discovered.

[ghshephard]

Fair enough - I can't disagree with anything you are saying here.

Honestly, one of the more astute things you mentioned was not getting into this situation in the first place, "Assuming my situational awareness was so poor I hadn't started avoiding letting them get so close in the first place," - I take full responsibility for getting mugged - it was after dark, on a deserted sidewalk - and my lack of situational awareness, directly led to the miscreants getting close enough to draw down on me and relieve me of my possessions.

I lived in a much rougher part of Oakland (17th and the lake, in 98-99) for 2 1/2 years, and never once came close to being on the receiving end of a crime, because I was always hyper aware of my environment. But, you get sloppy on the peninsula, and look what happens...