[raesene3]

Well if there's no central validation, that leaves all individual users to validate packages before use (which is a huge amount of work)...

The problem is that companies are using these packages as though they are trusted (i.e. not validating them when using them), and that's part of the value proposition in the first place (i.e. it's easier to use this package than write it myself), but it's missing the cost of validation.

On signing I'm not sure we're talking about the same thing. I'm referring to developers cryptographically signing packages before pushing to the repository, with a key that the end-user can validate. the idea is to protect against a comrpomise of the repository. There's a good discussion of the risks and potential solutions on The update framework's site (https://theupdateframework.github.io/)

[semi-extrinsic]

I completely agree on the first two paragraphs.

Wrt. signing: I'm assuming we are talking about PyPI and NPM here. Also I'm assuming the major threat vector for a repository compromise is that (some of) the dev's accounts on some other services (most likely email) are somehow compromised. In which case it's down to that dev's OPSEC practices whether the repository can be compromised using the data from $OTHER_SERVICE. If the dev has poor OPSEC and would reuse the password for multiple accounts in a user/pass repo auth scenario, it's reasonable that this person would also have emailed themself the keys for signing packages, e.g. for transferring to another location behind a firewall. In either case, you're down to trusting the dev's OPSEC.

IMO, the threat models for other kinds of compromises which signing protects against are much more far fetched. AFAICT neither PyPI nor NPM use third-party mirrors, which basically leaves MitM attacks. If an attacker is capable of successfully MitM-ing the connections you make to PyPI/NPM over https, you have much bigger problems.

Or am I missing your point here?

[raesene3]

Ah yes, so the threat model for developer signing is compromise of the repository. So here we're looking at the OpSec of the repository owner (e.g. PyPI, npm, Rubygems etc), and also the risk of deliberate compromise by the repo. owner (for example where a state with authority over the repository compels them to modify a package)

In terms of compromise there's already been the attack on Rubygems in 2013, but in general the thought here is that these repositories are extremely tempting targets for well-funded attackers. A compromise of npm for example would give an attacker direct access to a very wide range of targets.

Combine this with the very limited resources of the repository owners (most are free resources, likely constraining the money available for defence) and you get a realistic risk of attack, which is mitigated by an appropriate use of signing by the developer.

Docker hub has deployed an implementation of the Update Framework to address this, although the interesting point now is whether people actually use it as it's not compulsory...