| I think you make some interesting points, but I'm not convinced that I agree with all of them. > I'd be shocked if Dropbox is still in business in 5 years. I agree that Google Drive, iCloud, Amazon Cloud Drive, Box, etc. are all viable competitors. But (admittedly, anecdotally) everyone I talk to seems to use Dropbox. Personally, I use it on all of my devices. I also use Box for business-related storage, and Google Drive for presentations, documents, etc. I use Amazon Prime Photos to store my photo roll. I don't think that any of those detract from Dropbox's primary use case of sharing files between different machines. I don't think people think of Dropbox as "cloud storage," but instead as a way to move files back and forth and have constant availability on machines they use. > Our company actually banned Dropbox.com I work in information security, and although I haven't banned Dropbox from a network layer, I can certainly relate to the sentiment. You have to remember that it's not just corporate use that caused the Dropbox ban -- your sysadmins also don't want people putting work documents in Dropbox to work on from home, because so many people already use Dropbox in their personal lives. The fact that your organization blocked Dropbox, instead of just saying "we use Google Drive," speaks to the fact that so many people are already happy Dropbox users and would just as soon continue to use it. That said, I agree with you wholeheartedly that Dropbox, if going for major corporate adoption, will fail in its endeavor. I don't think that Google Drive is the primary competitor -- in my opinion, it's Box. Yes, you have to actually pay for Box, but in many corporate environments, that's not really much of an issue. Said another way, I predict Dropbox failing in a corporate environment for the same reason they will continue to succeed with personal users: businesses want "cloud storage," and personal users want "easy file share with myself." Maybe I'll look back on this comment in a few years and see that I was dead wrong, but for now that's where I'd put my money. |