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by MatthaeusHarris 3817 days ago
Unfortunately, yes. Present value of a future annuity (taking the lump sum now cuts the jackpot by quite a bit), and taxes. For ballpark calculations, I assume that each is going to cut the advertised jackpot in half. So for a $1.5 billion jackpot, your expected return is going to be a around $375 million (plus every single other prize, but that just adds about $20 million to the total), assuming no other winners.

Yes, your strategy will work, but not until the jackpot reaches even more ludicrous heights.

1 comments

Is the tax something that a hedge fund with offshore shell companies and other active investments could work around?
I seem to recal that Canada doesn't tax winnings.

And there's a better strategy then playing every number; play only the numbers that are not likely to cause a collision. You might not an every time, but you'll increase EV

Canada doesn't tax winnings in games of chance. If you're seen to be operating a business though - a professional poker player for instance - the winnings will be taxed. Buying all the numbers to a lottery with an expected profit could definitely fall under that umbrella.
Under that scenario, you'd be able to deduct the cost of the tickets as a business expense.
True. Would still reduce your net profit though. (And if your plan fails and you don't make a profit, I can just about guarantee they won't allow it to be classified as a business with deductible losses.)