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by qb45
3838 days ago
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> Just ask them to rank the horoscopes after the purported predicted time frame … And that's the experiment I meant. Some will lie to swing the result to their liking, some will respond with bullshit for whatever other reasons. And the rest may easily respond "mostly true" if the author of those horoscopes has enough skill to make them sufficiently truistic and vague, which is what they typically do. Like, "something important will happen to your life in the next month because Jupiter blah blah blah". My point is: horoscopes are unfalsifiable by design. Or by evolution with mutations, selection and stuff - whatever floats your boat. |
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The question you ask is whether people are able to identify their own horoscope, not whether they think the horoscopes are correct, i.e. they might well believe that on a 1 to 10 scale their horoscope is a 7, but if they then also score all the others at 7 (on average) then the horoscope had no predictive power. Basically, all the other horoscopes act as a control. It’s a quite elegant setup.