[humanrebar]

> In the past 8 years we've (to my great relief) de-escalated our military actions in both Afghanistan and Iraq.

You're relieved about what's going on in Iraq? Seems like a big mess to me.

As bad as whatever the U.S. has done in the Middle East, it hasn't beheaded civilians to make political statements or committed genocide against religious and cultural minorities.

We can certainly discuss if the U.S. should pull out anyway, but I don't feel "relief" in making the least awful choice.

[Aqueous]

It is a big mess, but I'm relieved that our foreign policy has been reset and that if there will be further action in the Middle East it will be one undertaken and lead by an true international coalition (not the fake international coalition that invaded Iraq in 2003 for reasons un-related to terrorism). We won't keep pretending (at least not for the time-being) that it's even possible for the US alone to make sure that no terrorist attacks happen anywhere. Terrorism is not US's problem alone, it is a multinational problem with a multinational - and probably not even a military - solution. I'm glad the US's foreign policy has changed to reflect that reality.

[Fuzzwah]

You seem very confident of how the US will act in the future.

Have you heard of a guy called Donald Trump?

[Aqueous]

Despite his current standing in polls, I am extremely extremely skeptical that Donald Trump will win the nomination of a major political party.

[dragonwriter]

> I am extremely extremely skeptical that Donald Trump will win the nomination of a major political party.

There's some very good structural reasons to expect that, even if gets the most votes in the primaries, he may not win the Republican nomination.

OTOH, major parties have collapsed entirely before in US politics, and not having a candidate finish at least second in the Presidential general election would be a pretty big sign of collapse -- and pretty much every three-way head-to-head poll conducted with any has an independent Trump taking the #2 spot by a wide margin over the Republican.

Trump may well define the major party that replaces the Republicans.

[Fuzzwah]

I certainly hope so. But what about the next rich old white guy who panders to the ignorant masses in the next election cycle (or the one after, or the one after that).

Predicting that the US will remain in the hands of some what sensible leaders seems rather naive to me.