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by yourapostasy
3839 days ago
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That is Amara's Law [1]. The paraphrase given by Cringely that is commonly quoted (to my knowledge, Amara himself never gave as concise a quote as the paraphrase) is: "We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run." [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara |
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