[GrinningFool]

I think if something the size of twitter failed, the loss of trust in a similar service's sustainability would prevent a clone from seeing critical mass for a long time, if ever.

edit: why the downvote? If you disagree, let's talk about it.

[theseatoms]

I hear your point, but what becomes the goto place for live events on the internet? Does a company with an established brand (like Google) attempt to step in with its own clone service?

I just can't see this form going away. A public-by-default, one-to-many microblog service has proven to be valued by a substantial userbase.

I have to think that the "next Twitter" could disguise itself as a sufficiently fresh take in order to gain enough trust from enough users.

(I upvoted you, btw.)

[GrinningFool]

There's always RSS and mailing lists :D

Joking aside, I wish there were some meaningful numbers around how many people (as a percentage of active user base) use it that way (live events) vs just seeing what their friends and/or favorite celebrities have to say.

[gaius]

proven to be valued by a substantial userbase

Not so valued that they could charge a subscription to it tho', there lies the rub.