| 'know it doesn't work' - seems a bit strong here. 1) While a violation of a widely accepted law of nature is indeed unlikely - it's not like it hasn't happened before. 2) There may yet still be some way to model the experimental data that at once makes the em-drive viable, while still preserving conservation of momentum. Still unlikely, but arguably more likely than 1). 3) And while these both remain unlikely - it is yet rational to have an increased credence for them while the experimental data remains unaccounted for. In fact, it's arguable that this increase of credence is significant - for if it were not, performing the necessary experiments to find out either way would be a waste of time. There are of course some very smart domain experts performing these experiments. Your tone and use of the word 'know' implies their irrationality. I would advise greater humility. |
Let me be emphatically clear: if your mental model of the scientific community doesn't include "There exist a whole lot of crackpots out there", your mental model of science is wrong. The odds of bold new ideas being crackpottery are far greater than the odds that some unappreciated genius has upended the well-tested laws of physics. (Believe me. I get their emails.)