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by tom-lord 3900 days ago
I'm confused... How can the mode number of searches be 0.5?!

"More people perform half a search every day, than any other amount." -- What?!

I guess maybe that's more like "the mode over 30 days, divided by 30"?

2 comments

Precisely, this is some atrocious analysis by Charles Arthur.
I know _ad hominem_ is generally uncalled for, but he's not known for doing anything else. As the Guardian tech editor he had a reputation for showcasing (i.e. Boot Up, which got pretty toxic) and writing articles attacking Android. Most of it based on tedious market analysis.
"I know _ad hominem_ is generally uncalled for, but"

Thus neatly showing how comment threads turn "pretty toxic". If you have better analysis of the data, that would be great to see.

He had opinion pieces by Andrew Orlowski published in The Guardian, I think that says everything you need to know :-)
The fact that you disagree with someone doesn't per se make them wrong.
No, but I tend to consider people who call hardworking Wikipedia editors by the pejorative "wiki-fiddlers" less than reliable, and the man regularly wrote half-truths and sometimes resorted to outright dishonesty.

That you would publish him... Well, that's your judgement but I consider it to be lacking.

He never said that the mode was 0.5... he said "The mode (most common number) will be below [1 search per day] too."

And it is. According to his numbers, the mode is precisely 0. The most common number of searches is zero... more people do 0 Google searches in a day than do 7 or 1 or any other specific number.

This is not a USEFUL statistic, but (according to this data) it is accurate.

> According to his numbers, the mode is precisely 0.

I was referring to the fact that the graphs - e.g. https://theoverspill.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/screenshot-... - are using using mode = 0.5

Actually, it's not. He's taken the mean average over the course of 30 days to get the average number of searches per day for all users. That doesn't give you the average number of searches per user per day!

In order to get the mode, you'd need to know how many searches each person does each day. You can't get the mode from the figures he's been provided.

But in the article, he wrote:

"I tried modelling what search activity probably looks like on mobile: I used a mean = 0.925 (as per Singhal) and mode = 0.5. The mode must be below the mean because of the long tail of higher values; 0.5 is a guess, but moving it around doesn’t have a large effect. This gives a median of 0.94, close to the mean, which you’d also expect."

He made some guesstimates which he used as input parameters to form a Pareto Distribution.

As for the mode always being less than the mean, that's wrong too.