[PavlovsCat]

> makes it sound like the current consensus is that Van der Lubbe set the fire after all.

Does it?

> The responsibility for the Reichstag fire remains an ongoing topic of debate and research.

The German one is not quite so sure either: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reichstagsbrand

> Marinus van der Lubbe was arrested at the scene. However, the circumstances and especially who did it could never be cleared up without doubt, and are still an object of controversy today.

[antientropic]

The English wikipedia article also says: "According to Ian Kershaw, writing in 1998, the consensus of nearly all historians is that Van der Lubbe did set the Reichstag on fire. Although Van der Lubbe was certainly an arsonist and clearly played a role, there has been considerable popular and scientific debate over whether he acted alone; the case is still discussed."