| > Nowadays it starts to provide brains, which makes it replace services. As it continues, where will the human labour go? Is there actual evidence of this? As in, actual statistics rather than grandiose claims of AI destroying the human race? Yes, you might get replaced by a piece of software and you may need to retrain to a different industry, but this has always been true. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creative_destruction > The number of jobs was highly correlated to the size of population so far, but we already see the rise of bullshit jobs This doesn't make any sense. At some point, someone is handing over money and expects a specific amount of work be done, which he finds to be a good exchange. It's far easier not to hire someone, than to hire them. So if you don't need work done ... you don't hire anyone. Why would someone pay someone else money to perform "bullshit"? You only have instances of this when it is mandated by regulation, not in a free market. |
I'm not talking about AI, I'm talking about replacing people in service jobs who were needed for some particular function provided more by their brains than by brute strength.
For instance, consider self-checkout machines replacing casheers in shops. It's already happening, it makes shops employ less people. Not zero, because automation is not a binary process, but less. (Also, n=1, I used to do inventory in a shop as an external contractor, because they couldn't count up everything in one night with the staff they had; that ended pretty much overnight when they got themselves automated inventory trackers with barcode scanners, which reduced the number of people needed by half.)
So is automation replacing people in services? Yes, you can see this everywhere around you. Do those people end up jobless? Not yet.
> Why would someone pay someone else money to perform "bullshit"? You only have instances of this when it is mandated by regulation, not in a free market.
Because it's not obvious bullshit, per leaflet example I described. The nonsense nature of work done only becomes apparent when you look at the whole chain of services provided. At each link, someone is paying someone else for a job they need to get paid by someone else entirely. And as long as you get paid, why would you refuse the job, or care what happens with the artifact you've built later? So there you have, some chains of services are direct mind-to-thrashcan work. Others run against each other, in a zero-sum-game, each cancelling out the results of another one. They exist, because at each step someone is paid to do something that the other party needs.