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by dperfect 3915 days ago
Maybe Benford's Law[1] has something to do with the distribution being skewed toward the $1 billion mark (at least in part).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benford%27s_law

1 comments

Actually, I'm pretty sure it proves he's right. In these distributions, the percentages matter a lot. I think the mentioned figures were upwards of 50% for startups in the 1-2 Billion valuation range? That's a fairly nontrivial difference from the expected 30%.

Is there a real stats person around here? I bet that if you plugged in the numbers into the formulas in "Statistical Tests" in the link that you gave, it would pretty much show that Sam is right. When I punched in the numbers and ran the Chi-Square test, it seemed kind of off. :P

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FoSfPvRSLK04ySAfjEqE...