[mindcrime]

Secondly, most companies have now realized that disruption is the way of the world, and thus most have become 'venture builders' that continuously run experiments and attempt to disrupt themselves, thus permanently remaining on top.

I'm pretty skeptical of this one, but I am curious to see how that plays out. I suspect there are some inherent, systemic rigidities that develop in large companies, that will prevent this from coming (entirely) to pass. If so, small companies / startups will continue to emerge with some technological innovation (or business model innovation) or other and "disrupt" existing models.

That said, an interesting related question would be "will be actually reach 'the end of technology' at some point?" That is, will we reach a point where we have mastered all of the technologies that can exist, given the constraints of the laws of physics? I mean, if we assume a fundamentally unchanging universe (unchanging in terms of the fundamental laws) then human / technological progress has to stop at some point, no? The question is, how far from that point are we?

[petra]

>> "will be actually reach 'the end of technology'

In general ,technologies are building blocks of newer technologies.Maybe we'll run out of problems first ?

[Taek]

At some point you run into the laws of physics. Right now it looks like we can stretch things quite a bit further, but there's only so much free energy in the world and only so many ways to shape it. It's completely conceivable that we'd run out of new technology before we run out of problems.