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You typically have to be a Keynesian (or related school of economics) to believe that. Governments get their spending cash from taxation and political control of the monetary authority. In order to exert economic influence, they first have to take some away from the actual producers of marketable goods and services. Thanks to the way money works, if they don't expand the amount of currency in circulation by spending what they created by fiat, the value remains with the producers, who continue measuring their prices by the smaller amount in circulation. In metaphorical terms, no one can listen to what you want to say if you do not speak. The one and only way that government spending can produce more growth than ordinary individual spending is by ordering construction or repair of capital infrastructure that benefits multiple businesses who would individually be unable to justify the expense of the improvement. Business A and business B are competitors, and they would both benefit from roads that connect them to a highway network. A is unwilling to assume the expense of building a road to the highway unless A could exclude B from it. B feels the same way about A. If either notices the other building a road, they know that money is not available for other purposes, so whoever makes the first move could lose market share thanks to a strategic counter-move. Instead, government G takes somewhat less than the full amount needed for one road from each, to build a single public road that serves both equally. Both businesses get their road to the highway, but neither had to pay the full expense individually. Growth occurs by breaking the Nash equilibrium that was preventing it. That's the ideal case. Usually, government spending is no smarter than handing a wad of cash to the village idiot, so it has no greater effect on growth than ordinary consumer spending, minus the deadweight loss. Also, if G takes a full road's worth of economic influence or more from both A and B, and builds only one complete road or just a partial road with it, neither A nor B is any better off. In order to promote growth, the government spending has to buy something of actual value to the public, at a lower cost than the sum of costs that individuals would pay for the bits of the "something" that benefit each of them most. The public usefulness of a "something" is often a matter of opinion, so the "growth" thing is almost pointless to argue about. |
Government spending can be a net gain or drag on an economy but it can be a big boost in certain circumstances:
1) When the private market is retracting the government can offset that somewhat and create a "softer" landing. This prevents over-shooting on the underside (think the Great Depression). The lower interest rates are the better the bang-for-the-buck you get from government spending. When the world is clamoring to give you their money at negative interest rates (paying you to take a loan!) you'd be a fool not to pull the trigger on every capital project and bit of maintenance you can... which of course since we are so full of Republicans in the US we have been fools and haven't taken nearly as much advantage of the situation as we should have. As rates rise we'll end up doing the same projects in the future but pay higher interest rates to do them.
2) In an environment of excess capital (e.g. where the top 1% have most of the money) there is far too much cash looking for a productive place to invest and too few good investments. Again in that environment the government can do a lot of good by confiscating the capital (temporarily as you'll see) and giving it to the bottom 95%, ideally as free money with no strings attached. The vast majority of it will be spent, returning directly to the 1% who held it in the first place. The overall velocity of money will increase. This is the exact same thing as SF being dragged down by high rents writ large (if rent were reasonable I would personally create a job by hiring a nanny; instead that money goes to my landlord's retirement account where it chases all the other dumb money looking for yield)
Government spending (and high taxes) can be a drain under different circumstances:
1) If there is a deficit of capital to finance good ideas or productive businesses, the economy can benefit from lowering taxes on the 1% to free up capital. One could argue this was the case when income taxes were 90+% during the supposed "golden post war era" that today's idiots fondly recall with rose-colored glasses.
2) If spending is done via printing money or the overall debt load is too high then you can cause high inflation which has its own negative effects. If your debt is denominated in a currency you don't control (or in gold) then this can be a double-whammy and cause hyperinflation.
Government in general can be well-run and more efficient then the market when you are talking about absolute necessities and natural monopolies (like health care or roads), assuming you were willing to pay good salaries and benefits to attract the best workers and don't try to outsource everything. None of that applies to today's US or state governments... we pay like crap and purposefully use contractors for everything. It doesn't work well anywhere else, why would that work for government?