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by eli_gottlieb
3950 days ago
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>In 2000, both Gore and Bush were always the frontrunners, and then they both won the primaries in landslides. I believe they both won every state, except Bush lost New Hampshire to McCain. I think the question is: does the ability of pundits to predict elections correlate or anticorrelate with voter participation rates? Or in simpler terms: do pundits predict well when primaries are democratic and reflect the will of the people, or when they're isolated, low-information games that mostly reflect punditry itself? |
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