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by cryptoz 3956 days ago
Yes, weather forecasting is hard - that's why there's lots of research into 'aftcasts'. If we can learn to make better predictions while limiting the data we take in, we can make big improvements to the accuracy of modern forecasts.

You can make fun of meteorologists if you want, but they are not wrong 95% of the time. In fact, over the last 20 years the accuracy of predictions has gone WAY up on average. There are still many places where forecasting is difficult and it's going to be a long road to improve it to get people like you to trust the forecast. But we're improving and we're making the best forecasts we've ever made in the industry.

1 comments

I'm not trying to make fun of meteorologists at all, I totally get that your job is hard. I actually wanted to take the same approach (My company provides lunch for employees, I wanted to train a neural net on past lunch menus, and trading/derivative market data for food type resources, to see if it could predict tomorrows menu), unfortunately that was shot down, so I never got the chance to do something like that.

If it came off as me trying to be down on meteorologists, that wasn't my intent, and I can't edit my original post to reflect that, so hopefully you'll see my comment here.