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Can we avoid this future? (futuretimeline.net)
7 points by Dinoguy1000 5083 days ago
3 comments

That's one hell of a detailed story. Don't believe it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy

About nanotech: if we have nanofactories, nanoreplicators shouldn't be far. Beware the gray goo accident.

As for AI, it will probably go from "quite dumb" to "way smarter than we are" in a relatively short time. At that point, everything else will be moot, because the AI will do pretty much what it wants (what its programming tells it to do) and we won't be able to stop it. Let's hope (or ensure that) its "wishes" are the same as ours.

Usually, predictions avoid themselves ;-)

But it's an interesting work of fiction in any case.

That would be an interesting natural oddity. For a perfect future, just get enough people together to predict all the different ways in which the world can end.
They would miss one.
It's easy to avoid this future, observation of past future predictions suggests we're not very good at it. Therefore this future is unlikely and simply by relying on our poor prediction skills we can avoid this future without doing anything.
Yeah, but doing things with the purpose of improving the future will (probably) lead to a better future than if we do nothing at all.

If you want to see the past you can use http://hntimeline.com/ (yeah, shameless plug)

This is the most dangerous kind of fuzzy thinking. The twentieth century is littered with counterexamples.

See http://mungowitzend.blogspot.com/2012/07/it-isnt-easy-to-und...