Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
Show HN: Silicon Valley Prediction Training (aforeseeablefuture.com)
10 points by dannyh 3211 days ago
2 comments

There's some dope advice at the end: "I recommend you use predictions to become reliable. Whenever you make commitments, ask yourself am I at least 80% confident I'll follow through here? When I'm not, I renegotiate immediately: Actually I expect I can have that for you in 3 weeks, 1 was optimistic. Actually I can't commit to do that at all because I'm super focused on x and y right now. The earlier you reset expectations the better. It's pretty easy to get other people to clarify their commitments in the same way." Overall solid.
I definitely recommend the HBR article as well.

https://hbr.org/2017/05/how-our-company-learned-to-make-bett...

"Founders bet years of their lives on finding product market fit, investors bet billions on the future value of ambitious startups, and executives bet that their strategies will increase a company's prospects. Here, predicting the future is not a theoretical superpower, it's part of the job."